Description

This analysis provides a forecast of LTC prices using a Seasonal ARIMA model with Box-Cox transformation. The forecast includes different scenarios:

The confidence levels used are 68%, 95%, and 99.7%, which means there is a corresponding probability that the actual price will fall within the Bear and Bull case range for each confidence level.

The purpose of this model is to help investors understand potential future price movements and make informed decisions based on different market scenarios.

Bear_0.997 Bear_0.95 Bear_0.68 Base Bull_0.68 Bull_0.95 Bull_0.997
2025-12-28 55.671190 63.606650 71.760202 80.729151 90.284505 100.129221 111.007951
2026-01-04 44.458662 55.861057 68.146752 82.223603 97.772422 114.302253 133.087635
2026-01-11 36.689552 49.797475 64.455674 81.761846 101.364669 122.643380 147.262951
2026-01-18 30.747884 44.945470 61.381138 81.306650 104.362861 129.821321 159.700200
2026-01-25 26.501502 41.534147 59.494267 81.775525 108.023256 137.412436 172.299204
2026-02-01 22.441231 37.877909 56.931510 81.113648 110.092342 142.963626 182.391829
2026-02-08 19.283602 35.021805 55.063521 81.036609 112.638978 148.893594 192.768120
2026-02-15 16.231360 31.964511 52.680814 80.109488 113.992807 153.294593 201.263901
2026-02-22 14.382102 30.376965 52.036471 81.213010 117.686630 160.353008 212.766903
2026-03-01 12.884113 29.131752 51.724682 82.641929 121.704202 167.740517 224.613188
2026-03-08 10.769765 26.704169 49.644871 81.667752 122.659103 171.406744 232.035647
2026-03-15 8.718613 24.099677 47.131160 79.977750 122.604728 173.771518 237.846886
2026-03-22 8.243024 24.100144 48.315032 83.207934 128.784692 183.729620 252.753965
2026-03-29 7.398943 23.354394 48.363242 84.884661 132.983357 191.285908 264.818394
2026-04-05 6.126285 21.639396 46.868030 84.386281 134.343960 195.336568 272.659792
2026-04-12 5.026252 20.061121 45.463963 83.928203 135.693680 199.328409 280.395682
2026-04-19 4.249721 18.998264 44.774007 84.404419 138.213233 204.733049 289.812634
2026-04-26 3.369479 17.516870 43.319436 83.731028 139.177572 208.173860 296.827236
2026-05-03 2.706519 16.373398 42.324758 83.652595 140.882168 212.505987 304.901412
2026-05-10 2.024191 14.962894 40.781492 82.709035 141.386514 215.299421 311.073210
2026-05-17 1.691376 14.420247 40.670890 83.832120 144.635277 221.531709 321.442987
2026-05-24 1.434671 14.030626 40.796187 85.286197 148.319756 228.310419 332.484098
2026-05-31 0.987536 12.790383 39.321805 84.294889 148.657354 230.824495 338.265613